{"id":18922,"date":"2012-02-26T06:51:40","date_gmt":"2012-02-26T11:51:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/?p=18922"},"modified":"2018-12-05T20:56:00","modified_gmt":"2018-12-06T01:56:00","slug":"if-we-picked-the-oscars-2012-edition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/2012\/02\/26\/if-we-picked-the-oscars-2012-edition\/","title":{"rendered":"If We Picked The Oscars: 2012 Edition!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/OscarStatues.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-14448\" title=\"OscarStatues\" src=\"http:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/OscarStatues.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"367\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/OscarStatues.jpg 550w, https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/OscarStatues-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a>It\u2019s that time of the year again, Oscar time! The question everyone is asking (at least in my household) is this &#8211; in a year with so many perceived dead solid locks, could their be any surprising upsets? Well, of course there could! That\u2019s what makes the Oscars the Oscars!<\/p>\n<p>In this post, we go through the major categories, pick who we think will will, and who has the best chance for an upset. This way, all of our bases are covered (unless, of course, we are wrong). We\u2019ll even give you our odds for an upset. So, here we go!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Best animated feature film of the year<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>&#8220;<strong>A Cat in Paris<\/strong>&#8221; Alain Gagnol and Jean-Loup Felicioli<\/li>\n<li>&#8220;<strong>Chico &amp; Rita<\/strong>&#8221; Fernando Trueba and Javier Mariscal<\/li>\n<li>&#8220;<strong>Kung Fu Panda 2<\/strong>&#8221; Jennifer Yuh Nelson<\/li>\n<li>&#8220;<strong>Puss in Boots<\/strong>&#8221; Chris Miller<\/li>\n<li>&#8220;<strong>Rango<\/strong>&#8221; Gore Verbinski<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\u00a0And the Oscar Goes to: <\/strong>Rango.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Unless it goes to: <\/strong>Chico &amp; Rita or A Cat in Paris.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chance of Upset:<\/strong> 19%<\/p>\n<p>It is a bit shocking that there isn\u2019t a Pixar film on the list, but this should mean that <strong>Rango <\/strong>will have an easy time getting the win. Although, the two foreign entries might not be on the list to show that the Academy recognizes their efforts. They have a shot at the award too.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Adapted screenplay<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Descendants, Screenplay by Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon &amp; Jim Rash<\/li>\n<li>Hugo, Screenplay by John Logan<\/li>\n<li>The Ides of March, \u00a0Screenplay by George Clooney &amp; Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon<\/li>\n<li>Moneyball, Screenplay by Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin. Story by Stan Chervin<\/li>\n<li>Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, \u00a0Screenplay by Bridget O&#8217;Connor &amp; Peter Straughan<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\u00a0And the Oscar Goes to: <\/strong>The Descendants.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Unless it goes to:<\/strong> Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chance of Upset:<\/strong> 48%<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s a tough crowd\u2014all are deserving\u2014 but I think <strong>The Descendents<\/strong> will win this as a consolation for losing Best Picture. Although, <strong>Tinker Tailor <\/strong>might be the best script and has sentimentality on its side (O\u2019Connor is deceased). If there is an upset, I hope it\u2019s that.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Original screenplay<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Artist, Written by Michel Hazanavicius<\/li>\n<li>Bridesmaids, Written by Annie Mumolo &amp; Kristen Wiig<\/li>\n<li>Margin Call, Written by J.C. Chandor<\/li>\n<li>Midnight in Paris, Written by Woody Allen<\/li>\n<li>A Separation, Written by Asghar Farhadi<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\u00a0And the Oscar Goes to: <\/strong>The Artist.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Unless it goes to:<\/strong> Bridesmaids.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chance of Upset:<\/strong> 5%<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Artist <\/strong>should have it won hands down. <strong>Bridesmaids <\/strong>would be a humongous upset, but I think it is the next likeliest winner.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Performance by an actress in a supporting role<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>B\u00e9r\u00e9nice Bejo in &#8220;The Artist&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Jessica Chastain in &#8220;The Help&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Melissa McCarthy in &#8220;Bridesmaids&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Janet McTeer in &#8220;Albert Nobbs&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Octavia Spencer in &#8220;The Help&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\u00a0And the Oscar Goes to: <\/strong>Octavia Spencer<\/p>\n<p><strong>Unless it goes to:<\/strong> Melissa McCarthy<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chance of Upset:<\/strong> 3%<\/p>\n<p>Melissa McCarthy is a Hollywood favorite, but Spencer has won this award a lot. She\u2019s pretty much a lock for it, barring an upset.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Performance by an actor in a supporting role<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Kenneth Branagh in &#8220;My Week with Marilyn&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Jonah Hill in &#8220;Moneyball&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Nick Nolte in &#8220;Warrior&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Christopher Plummer in &#8220;Beginners&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Max von Sydow in &#8220;Extremely Loud &amp; Incredibly Close&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\u00a0And the Oscar Goes to: <\/strong>Christopher Plummer<\/p>\n<p><strong>Unless it goes to:<\/strong> Max von Sydow<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chance of Upset:<\/strong> 1%<\/p>\n<p>Yeah, if there is an absolute mortal lock here, it\u2019s Plummer. If he doesn\u2019t get the award, there is something seriously wrong. But if I had to pick any underdog, and I have to, my gut tells me von Sydow has the best chance. He has the \u201cthis will be a lifetime achievement \u201c card he can play (but so does Plummer) but he is the most out of place nominee (no other major nominations, let alone wins) that something in the back of my mind says he\u2019s been nominated for a reason.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Performance by an actress in a leading role<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Glenn Close in &#8220;Albert Nobbs&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Viola Davis in &#8220;The Help&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Rooney Mara in &#8220;The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Meryl Streep in &#8220;The Iron Lady&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Michelle Williams in &#8220;My Week with Marilyn&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\u00a0And the Oscar Goes to: <\/strong>Viola Davis<\/p>\n<p><strong>Unless it goes to:<\/strong> Meryl Streep<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chance of Upset:<\/strong> 41%<\/p>\n<p>Davis most likely will get it, but Streep keeps hanging around. She could pull off an upset.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Performance by an actor in a leading role<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Demi\u00e1n Bichir in &#8220;A Better Life&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>George Clooney in &#8220;The Descendants&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Jean Dujardin in &#8220;The Artist&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Gary Oldman in &#8220;Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Brad Pitt in &#8220;Moneyball&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\u00a0And the Oscar Goes to: <\/strong>Jean Dujardin<\/p>\n<p><strong>Unless it goes to:<\/strong> George Clooney<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chance of Upset:<\/strong> 78%<\/p>\n<p>Personally, I think Oldman should win it, but the way things are, he is lucky Hollywood paid enough attention to nominate him. It should come down to Dujardin and Clooney. I think the former is far more deserving\u2014I couldn\u2019t imagine anyone else playing his part, while I could see Clooney\u2019s part played by other actors with little ill effect. But Hollywood loves Clooney. So he has a really good chance of winning,<\/p>\n<p><strong>Achievement in directing<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Artist, Michel Hazanavicius<\/li>\n<li>The Descendants, Alexander Payne<\/li>\n<li>Hugo, Martin Scorsese<\/li>\n<li>Midnight in Paris, Woody Allen<\/li>\n<li>The Tree of Life, Terrence Malick<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\u00a0And the Oscar Goes to: <\/strong>Michel Hazanavicius<\/p>\n<p><strong>Unless it goes to:<\/strong> Martin Scorsese<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chance of Upset:<\/strong> 36%<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Artist <\/strong>was the best directed film and I believe it will win big on Oscar night. However, <strong>Hugo <\/strong>was a stretch for Scorsese and a form of commentary. I can see him having a chance of upsetting the field.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Best Picture<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Artist, Thomas Langmann, Producer<\/li>\n<li>The Descendants, \u00a0Jim Burke, Alexander Payne and Jim Taylor, Producers<\/li>\n<li>Extremely Loud &amp; Incredibly Close, Scott Rudin, Producer<\/li>\n<li>The Help, Brunson Green, Chris Columbus and Michael Barnathan, Producers<\/li>\n<li>Hugo, Graham King and Martin Scorsese, Producers<\/li>\n<li>Midnight in Paris, Letty Aronson and Stephen Tenenbaum, Producers<\/li>\n<li>Moneyball, Michael De Luca, Rachael Horovitz and Brad Pitt, Producers<\/li>\n<li>The Tree of Life, Nominees to be determined<\/li>\n<li>War Horse, Steven Spielberg and Kathleen Kennedy, Producers<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\u00a0And the Oscar Goes to: <\/strong>The Artist<\/p>\n<p><strong>Unless it goes to:<\/strong> The Descendants<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chance of Upset:<\/strong> 51%<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Artist <\/strong>was, in my opinion, the Best Picture of the Year. But I can see a minor backlash against it for what could be perceived as its \u201cgimmicks.\u201d If that backlash is big enough, it could send the statue to <strong>The Descendants.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\">Who do we think will win the Oscars? What is the best chance for an upset? We&#8217;ll tell you inside. <\/div>\n<p> <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/2012\/02\/26\/if-we-picked-the-oscars-2012-edition\/\" title=\"If We Picked The Oscars: 2012 Edition!\">[click for more]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3185,84],"tags":[4550],"series":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-18922","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-featured-stories","7":"category-news","8":"tag-2012-academy-awards"},"aioseo_notices":[],"nelio_content":{"autoShareEndMode":"never","automationSources":{"useCustomSentences":false,"customSentences":[]},"efiAlt":"","efiUrl":"","followers":[2,4],"highlights":[],"isAutoShareEnabled":false,"networkImageIds":[],"permalinkQueryArgs":[],"series":[],"suggestedReferences":[]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18922","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18922"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18922\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18922"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18922"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18922"},{"taxonomy":"series","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.filmbuffonline.com\/FBOLNewsreel\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/series?post=18922"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}