We may still be a little more than two weeks out from its release, but powered by some very positive early reviews, Captain America: Civil War is tracking to make somewhere in the neighborhood of $175 million its opening weekend.
The film is the third of Marvel Studios’ Captain American films and the 13th film in their overall interconnected cinematic universe.
If the Marvel film manages to make this estimate it will pass the $170.1 million Warner Brothers’ own superhero slugfest Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice pulled in its opening weekend. If it does, Civil War will snatch the highest grossing opening weekend for 2016 crown from Batman V Superman. Additionally, if Civil War reaches it projections, it would enter into the Top 5 Biggest Opening Weekends of all time. The current top four opening films on American shores are Star Wars: The Force Awakens ($248 million), Jurassic World ($208.8 million), The Avengers ($207.4 million) and Avengers: Age Of Ultron ($191.3 million).
The Hollywood Reporter is stating that with the strong advance critical reaction as well as high anticipation factor from the film adapting a popular Marvel Comics storyline and the first Marvel Cinematic Universe appearance of Tom Holland as Spider-Man, the $175 million estimate may be a conservative one and that the weekend take could be as high as $200 million.
With production and marketing budgets of approximately the same amount, Captain America: Civil War will also need to gross in the neighborhood of $800 million that Batman V Superman needed to break even. Given that Civil War doesn’t have too much competition at theaters over the following two weeks in terms of new releases. After that, X-Men: Apocalypse opens on May 27.